HECM Expected Interest Rates and the CPI
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We came across this graph in a newsletter put out by MBIA (the large municipal bond insurer):
The graph is of interest to potential reverse mortgage borrowers for a couple of reasons. First, it highlights a close correlation between movements in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) with the 10-year Treasury Rate. Recall that the 10-year Treasury Rate is the index used for the HECM program’s “expected” rate. The “expected rate” is a big factor in determining how large your reverse mortgage will be. In simplest terms, the lower the expected rate the larger reverse mortgage loan amount you’ll qualify for.
Of immediate interest is the far-right portion of the graph which shows a recent sharp fall-off in the CPI (mainly due to falling energy prices) but a lesser decline in the 10-year Treasury rate. What might be very interesting in the current market is whether the sharp retreat in the consumer price index will be followed in coming weeks with a sharp fall in the 10-year Treasury.
According to figures released today (12/11/06), HECM expected rates dropped only slightly in the most recent week. Expected rates fell only 1 basis point following a sharper 9 basis point drop in the previous week. Still, if you are in the market for a reverse mortgage, it is smart to keep a close eye on this trend.
| Reverse Mortgage Rates | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rate | This Week | Last Week | 52-Week Avg |
52-Week High |
52-Week Low |
| HECM Expected - Monthly | 5.98% | 5.99% | 6.283% | 6.72% | 5.86% |
| [tag]HECM[/tag] Expected - Annual | 7.58% | 7.59% | 7.883% | 8.32% | 7.46% |
For more information on current reverse mortgage interest rates and historic trends, see our reverse mortgage interest rate tool.
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